（编者注：只翻译了一些比较重要的内容，重点是套牌分析和最后的预测，Reid Duke 虽然没能参加这次的世冠，他站在局外的角度来分析还是很有营养的，之后就是T2赛季了，对大家冲MTGA的天梯也很有帮助，一起来看看吧~）
MAGIC WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP XXVI METAGAME BREAKDOWN
——REID DUKE
原文链接（可点击文末 阅读原文 直接查看）：
https://magic.gg/news/magic-world-championship-xxvi-metagame-breakdown
It's almost here! Magic World Championship XXVI is the most exciting event on the Magic calendar, and there has never been a better time to be a Magic fan than this coming weekend.Although I won't be competing this year, I've played in the Magic World Championship in six of the last seven years.（RD在过去七年参加了六次世冠！） I can tell you that for our sixteen competitors, it will be an unforgettable experience. Each of them has worked tirelessly and will be hoping to bring out the absolute best in themselves for this event. And guess what—they're going to need it.Preparing for Worlds is unlike preparing for a Grand Prix, a Players Tour, or any other event. The field is unusually small, the competitors are unusually skilled, and the stakes are unusually high. Before we get into the decklists, let's talk about how things shaped up behind the scenes over the past several weeks, and how our competitors might have approached the event.The World Championship is the most prestigious and challenging event that Magic has to offer. There's not a single weak player, and there will not be a single easy match.To prepare, the players need to seek out skilled opponents and practice under tournament conditions. Grinding the ladder on MTG Arena is a great way to learn, but even the play in Mythic ranking doesn't compare to what we'll see at the World Championship. The level of skill and focus you'll get from opponents online simply won't match what Javier Dominguez will give you at the feature match area in Honolulu.
Are you used to people making bad blocks when you have Embercleave? Do you always seem to nab the opponent's best spell with your Absorb? Well, when it comes time for the big show, the number of mistakes will be small, and your opponents will always find ways to make the plays you don't want them to make.One thing I strive to do for such an event is to choose a deck with a high raw power level. "Power level" is a nebulous concept, but here are some of the intangibles that I'm looking for: I want single cards that can win the game when they go unanswered. I want a potential unbelievably powerful opening hand that's difficult for my opponent to stop. I want to be able to look at my opening hand and get that jolt of confidence that this is my game to win. Once we get to the decklists, we'll discuss which ones pass and fail this "power level test."- 对于这样的比赛，我努力做的一件事是去选择一套具有高power level的牌。“Power Level” 是一个模糊的概念，这里有一些难以形容的东西是我渴望的：我想要那种无法被应对、然后可以赢得比赛的单卡。我想要一个无比强大的起手，让我的对手难以去阻止。我希望能够看到我的起手后，就能有一种信心，这局我赢定了。当我们拿到牌表时，我们会去讨论哪些套牌能通过这个"power level 测试"For the most part, our competitors know each other and have played against one another before this. When preparing for a Grand Prix, you might ask yourself, "What's going to be the most popular deck?" For this event, you'd instead ask yourself, "What deck is Autumn Burchett likely to play?"Predicting the competition and gathering information can be immensely valuable.Gabriel Nassif loves to play control decks, is he going to bring control for this event?Eli Loveman qualified by playing Humans in Modern. Is he in his comfort zone when he's attacking with creatures?Increasingly each year, Magic players become more open with their tournament preparation. Most professionals supplement their income with streaming, writing, or other types of content creation. Piotr "Kanister" Glogowski is becoming famous for publishing his decklists in advance of his tournaments—and winning them anyway, of course. Seth Manfield wrote an article detailing his preparation for this event. And, by the way, the decklist he submitted is only a few cards different from one you could've found here a week ahead of time!I'll be eager to find out what our competitors knew or suspected of one another going into the event.It simply doesn't make sense to work with a large group for the World Championship, like players might for some other events. With a team of five or six players, you'd make up a full one third of the tournament field. You'd be exploitable if your opponents could guess what deck you were bringing. Plus, these players want to be the World Champion, and playing mirror matches against teammates every round isn't exactly a smooth path to achieving that.Instead, our players will have broken up into groups of two and three (and of course some lone wolves), sometimes reaching out to unqualified players for a helping hand here and there. Let's get into the decklists and meet some of these small-batch teams.
Jean Emmanuel Depraz // Autumn BurchettMatias Leveratto // Chris KvartekNot only has Temur Reclamation been a successful Standard deck for over a year, but it's a huge winner from the recent printings in Theros Beyond Death. Storms Wrath; Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath; and Thassa's Intervention offer Temur the ability to play from more angles, as well as a general notch up in power level.- 铁木尔复归荒野不仅在过去一年里是一套成功的套牌，在有新牌加入后依然强势。风暴之怒、天怒泰坦乌洛、塔萨的干预给铁木尔提供了更多维度的发挥能力，power level也提高了
Temur Reclamation might just have the strongest late game of any deck in Standard, and as such passes my "power level test" with flying colors. However, its ability to overpower other slow decks is balanced by a weakness to the card Teferi, Time Raveler. It can also struggle against fast aggressive decks.
- 铁木尔复归荒野成功通过了我的"power level 测试"，它可能是标准环境中后期能力最强的套牌，然而会被理时泰菲力给牵制。另外它对快攻套牌抗性也不错
Seth Manfield+Andrea Mengucci // Sebastián PozzoSpeaking of fast aggro, four players chose to bring Mono-Red. A monocolor manabase and the ability to operate on a small number of lands makes this one of the fastest and most consistent decks in Standard. On top of that, it's also punctuated by haymaker cards like Embercleave; Torbran, Thane of Red Fell; and Experimental Frenzy. Certainly a powerful deck capable of scoring easy wins!
- 说到快攻套牌，四人选择了纯红。纯色套牌法术力基础好、少量地就能运作的特点，让这套牌成为标准中最快且平滑的套牌。除此之外，它能在有鞍烬锋、托班、实验性狂乱时拥有超强爆发。显然这是个能轻松取胜的强力套牌
Our red players will be hoping to prey on the Temur Reclamation players. While Temur gained some great new weapons against aggro—especially Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath—the one problem they can't correct is the heavy density of shocklands and Temples in the three-color manabase. The best spells in the world might not save you against Mono-Red if you can't cast them painlessly and on time! Temur versus Mono-Red is by no means unwinnable from the Temur side. Still, I'd guess that our Reclamation players aren't thrilled to see a quarter of the field packing Scorch Spitters and Fervent Champions.
- 小红牌手希望去遇到那些铁木尔复归荒野。即使铁木尔获得了一些对抗快攻的新牌（尤其是Uro），但是三色的法术力基础比较差，有很多电震地和占卜地。如果不能及时地不掉血出Uro，这世界上最强的咒语Uro也不能救你一命
The power team of Seth Manfield and Andrea Mengucci brought a specially tuned version of Mono-Red that showed great attention to the small field dynamic, and perhaps some accurate predictions about what their opponents were going to show up with. Four copies of Robber of the Rich will punish slow opponents who can't empty their hands quickly: Remember those enters-the-battlefield tapped lands!
- Seth Manfield 和 Andrea Mengucci 针对这个小环境，可能正确地预测了将会遇到的套牌，组出了新的版本的小红，4张劫富侠客会惩罚那些无法尽快用出手牌的对手（带了很多横置进场的地的套牌）
Sideboard Unchained Berserker will be great against White decks in general, and great against Teferi and Deafening Clarion specifically. Finally, they decided to omit Shock altogether, which would normally be a staple for a diverse metagame but is a notably weak card against combo and control decks that don't play many creatures. The World Championship is the right place for bold gambles like this!
- 备牌的破链狂战士尤其针对泰菲力和震耳号角。最后，他们决定删掉所有电震，即使在套牌多样的大环境中是必要的，但是对上没有生物的组合技和控制套牌时极其的差。世冠赛正是做这种大胆决定的好地方！
Gabriel Nassif + Raphaël Lévy //// Javier Dominguez + Márcio CarvalhoLike Temur Reclamation, Jeskai Fires is a generally strong deck with a powerful combo element baked in. It performs a bit better against Mono-Red, in part due to the presence of Deafening Clarion.
- 洁斯凯烈焰也是一套强牌，因为有震耳号角，所以对上小红有小优势
Who wins the heads up battle between Jeskai Fires and Temur Reclamtion is a subject of controversy, and we may not have a definitive answer until the end of this weekend. My guess is that the players who chose Temur feel confident in their plan against Jeskai, while the opposite is true from the perspective of the Jeskai players.
- 洁斯凯烈焰和铁木尔复归荒野这两套牌谁更有优势非常难说，要等到比赛结束才有肯定的答案。我猜这些牌手都相信自己能战胜另一套牌
Both Javier Dominguez and Márcio Carvalho kept it traditional with Legion Warboss in the sideboard, but the French Hall of Famers Gabriel Nassif and Raphael Levy together innovated with Robber of the Rich to come in against Temur Reclamation and control. The Archer Rogue is my pick for the defining card of the event!
- Javier Dominguez 和Márcio Carvalho 都使用传统的备牌教团战首，Gabriel Nassif 和Raphael Levy 使用了创新的备牌劫富侠客，去针对铁木尔和控制。我认为劫富侠客定义了这场比赛！
Ondřej Stráský + PVDDR // Thoralf SeverinAzorius Control seems to have it all for this event. Teferi, Time Raveler is arguably the best card in the format against Temur Reclamation, while life gain and creature removal gives the deck what it needs to fight Mono-Red.
My only complaint about Control here is that it scores a bit lower on my power level test and is a deck that I personally would've felt intimidated to choose for this event. These players will have to work for every win. That said, if they have their game plans and sideboard strategies razor sharp then that might be exactly what they're ready to do.
- 我对控制唯一的不满是，它在我的 power level 测试中分数偏低，如果参加这种比赛，我个人会比较害怕去用这样的套牌参加。玩这套牌的人需要去大量练习，如果他们的游戏计划和备牌策略都很明确，就能够取得成绩
Paulo Vitor Damo Da Rosa is one of the best players to ever pick up a Magic card, and I won't be surprised to see him work wonders with this deck. Ondřej Stráský and Thoralf Severin have proven themselves as great players in the long run, and both had seasons for the history books last year. I'll be even further in awe of their skills if they can navigate Azorius Control through an elite field this weekend.Piotr "Kanister" GlogowskiIt's strange to call Jund Sacrifice a "rogue" choice since it's a tried and true deck that even won the most recent Mythic Championship—in Piotr Głogowski's hands no less. However, it's the nature of these small field events that decks you usually expect to see in force sometimes hardly show up at all.
The relative strength of Jund Sacrifice is beating up on fair, medium-speed creature decks, which are exactly the decks that didn't show up to Magic World Championship XXVI. If this is what the competitors expected, this might explain why no one other than Głogowski gravitated towards Jund.
- 勇得牺牲这套牌对上中速生物套牌是优势，但这类套牌在这次世冠中并没有出现。如果大家都预测这次比赛没有中速生物套牌，这就能解释为什么除了Głogowski 就没人也用勇得牺牲了
However, don't forget that it was Głogowski who won Mythic Championship VII with Jund Sacrifice in spectacular, undefeated fashion! This is a great deck which heavily rewards its pilot's skill and experience, both of which Głogowski has no shortage of either.
- 但是别忘了 Głogowski 操控勇得牺牲全胜席卷了MC7，操控者拥有更高的技术和更多的经验时，这套牌会显得更强，Głogowski 正是这样的套牌操控者
It's high time for me to stop analyzing and let the competitors do the rest. But I'll leave you with my personal predictions going into the event.① My top pick is the team of Manfield and Mengucci: Great players who brought a tuned version of Mono-Red Aggro.- 我最喜欢的是 Manfield 和 Mengucci：优秀的牌手再加上有调整过的小红② Let's pay special attention to the Azorious Control contingent, and in particular the legendary Paulo Vitor Damo Da Rosa.- 特别注意的是使用白蓝控制的牌手们，尤其是最强的PVDDR③ I think the Temur Reclamation and Jund Sacrifice players will have to work a little harder based on the way our metagame shook out.- 基于环境的分析，我认为铁木尔复归荒野和勇得牺牲的牌手会比较难出成绩④ Jeskai Fires is a well-rounded deck. The metagame is neither good nor bad for these players.- 洁斯凯烈焰是个全面的套牌， metagame对于这套牌既不好也不差Don't forget that we start on Friday with Theros Beyond Death Draft! This makes it impossible to predict a winner based on their Standard deck choice alone. Booster Draft tends to favor the experienced players over the newcomers. In particular, Marcio Carvalho will be hoping to put himself in favorable seeding after the draft rounds.
- 不要忘记周五比赛是从冥途求生的轮抽开始的！仅凭标准套牌的选择无法预测结果。轮抽偏向于更有经验的牌手，Marcio Carvalho 可能会在轮抽中取得好成绩
Now clear your schedule, fire up twitch.tv/magic this Friday at 11 AM PST (9 AM HST / 2 PM EST / 7 PM UTC), and enjoy Magic World Championship XXVI ！
